Excursionistas vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ARM
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
ESP
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 3
RPI
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 2
ALE
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 2
LUJ
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
ALE
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 0
LAF
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |