Excursionistas vs Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 0
EXC
46%
27%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
SAC
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
STM
0 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
EXC
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 2
JUU
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
CCO
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 4
JUU
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 1
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 2
JUU
45%
28%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |