Excursionistas vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
66.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
EXC
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
DOC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
44%
29%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
LUJ
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
EXC
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
GLP
48%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 0
HUR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 1
GLP
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GLP
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |