Excursionistas vs Flandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
38%
28%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JUU
0 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
ARQ
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
ARM
39%
27%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
JUU
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
6 - 0
JUU
64%
21%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ARQ
0 - 0
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
ARM
63%
23%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
CCO
78%
16%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 4
FLA
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |