Excursionistas vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
EXC
54%
26%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
ITU
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
JJU
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ARQ
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -5 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 0
CAM
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
DOC
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
DOC
2 - 2
CCO
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
DOC
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 3
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -3 |