Excursionistas vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
CCO
1 - 2
EXC
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
ARQ
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
SMG
0 - 1
EXC
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAM
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
RIE
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
RIE
48%
28%
24%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 0
FLA
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |