Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
DOC
0 - 0
EXC
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SMG
1 - 2
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
LAF
26%
27%
47%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DOC
2 - 0
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
SMA
29%
25%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
CAD
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
PLA
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
VSC
3 - 0
MER
47%
27%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |