Excursionistas vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUJ
2 - 2
EXC
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
ARM
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 3
EXC
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
EXC
68%
22%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 3
CAD
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 0
CAD
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
LAF
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 2
JJU
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
LAF
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 0
LIN
63%
23%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +2 |