Excursionistas vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JUU
0 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
ARQ
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
ARM
39%
27%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
JUU
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 0
EXC
46%
27%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAF
0 - 1
SAC
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JUU
0 - 3
LAF
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAF
0 - 1
STM
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 0
LAF
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -5 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
LAF
3 - 1
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |