Excursionistas vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CCO
0 - 0
EXC
39%
29%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
ITA
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
EXC
43%
28%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
LAM
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RPI
2 - 1
EXC
43%
27%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
4 - 2
LIN
38%
30%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
ESP
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
MID
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
ESP
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |