Excursionistas vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
SAC
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
STM
48%
26%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 1
CAM
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAD
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 0
CCO
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
CAD
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 0
ESP
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |