Excursionistas vs Liniers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 2
SMG
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
UAI
1 - 0
EXC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
DAL
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
EXC
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 1
POR
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
LAM
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
LIN
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 4
UAI
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
LIN
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |