Excursionistas vs Cañuelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LUJ
2 - 1
EXC
49%
28%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAD
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
11%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAM
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
SMG
46%
27%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cañuelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
CCO
41%
28%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
MID
1 - 1
CAÑ
36%
28%
37%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
SAC
59%
24%
18%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
JUU
1 - 0
CAÑ
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
JJU
2 - 1
CAÑ
37%
28%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |