Excursionistas vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 1
EXC
44%
30%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
VSC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
EXC
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOR
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
BAR
38%
28%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
BAR
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
COM
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |