Excursionistas vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
5 - 0
EXC
48%
28%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
ATL
27%
27%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SUA
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
1 - 3
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 4
MOR
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
ACA
45%
30%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |