Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
UTR
7 - 4
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCD
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 3
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 1
BOS
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 2
RJC
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 2
WIL
77%
14%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
21%
23%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
GAE
4 - 6
WIL
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |