Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 6
PSV
19%
24%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 2
WIL
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 2
WAG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
WIL
6 - 1
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |