Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MVV
3 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
16%
24%
59%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
ADO
0 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 6
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |