Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 2
NEC
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FEY
4 - 1
VVV
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
VVV
0 - 2
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 3
VVV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VVV
2 - 5
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |