Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 5
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
1 - 3
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GRA
3 - 2
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 5
RJC
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
4 - 0
VVV
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |