Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 5
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
ZWO
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
FCO
0 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
VVV
2 - 0
FCO
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
0 - 5
VVV
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
VVV
2 - 1
HEL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 2
VVV
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
VVV
1 - 1
BVO
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |