Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCE
28%
25%
46%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 3
EIN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
TEL
0 - 3
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 0
FCD
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
VVV
3 - 0
ADO
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
BOS
0 - 1
VVV
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |