Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 4
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 2
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |