Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
TWE
3 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 2
FEY
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 1
MVV
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
ADO
4 - 0
VIT
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 0
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 3
GAE
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |