Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BVV
1 - 2
EXC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
1 - 1
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 5
RKC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 2
FCE
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
1 - 0
TEL
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 2
MVV
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BVV
1 - 0
TEL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
RKC
3 - 0
TEL
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |