Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
APE
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 0
BOS
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 2
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
TEL
1 - 3
MVV
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
HFC
2 - 2
TEL
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
TEL
1 - 1
BVV
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |