Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
FCD
76%
15%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
GAE
2 - 3
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
69%
17%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
0 - 5
EXC
6%
13%
82%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 1
HER
31%
25%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
TEL
0 - 0
APE
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
VVV
3 - 0
TEL
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
FCO
3 - 0
TEL
39%
25%
35%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
TEL
3 - 1
MVV
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |