Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 1
VVV
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
TEL
1 - 0
FCO
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
TEL
1 - 2
ADO
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
FCD
4 - 0
TEL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
TEL
0 - 3
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |