Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 3
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 2
HER
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
FCO
0 - 4
SPA
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
4 - 1
TEL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
APE
1 - 2
SPA
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |