Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
4 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ZWO
4 - 2
EXC
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
MVV
1 - 3
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |