Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ADO
3 - 0
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
VOL
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 6
SPA
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1971 |
LSO
1 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
SPA
5 - 2
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |