Excelsior vs RBC Roosendaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ADO
4 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 3
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
HEL
1 - 3
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RBC Roosendaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
RBC
0 - 1
VOL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
HER
0 - 1
RBC
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 3
RBC
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1999 |
RBC
1 - 1
FCE
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
RBC
3 - 0
TEL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |