Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
FCE
1 - 3
EXC
31%
24%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
6 - 0
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |