Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
VVV
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
ZWO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
FCO
0 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FEY
3 - 0
NEC
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 3
RKC
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TWE
0 - 1
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 0
UTR
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |