Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
PSV
4 - 3
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
HFC
2 - 0
NEC
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
GAE
5 - 1
NEC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |