Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
TEL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
BVO
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
EIN
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALK
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
NAC
17%
23%
61%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
FCD
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |