Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
HFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |