Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
24%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
41%
26%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |