Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
TEL
3 - 1
EXC
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCE
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
HER
1 - 3
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 3
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
MVV
1 - 4
BOS
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
MVV
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |