Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
NEC
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
PSV
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
TWE
4 - 1
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
MVV
4 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 0
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |