Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
MVV
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
MVV
1 - 0
WAG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 5
MVV
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |