Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
MVV
1 - 1
SPA
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PSV
1 - 1
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 2
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
AZA
2 - 0
MVV
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |