Excelsior vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JON
2 - 3
VOL
15%
23%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 2
JON
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JON
1 - 1
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 1
JON
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 4
JON
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |