Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 5
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
BOS
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
64%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
HEL
4 - 0
NAC
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
HEL
0 - 3
VVV
20%
23%
58%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
HEL
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 2
EIN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 2
HEL
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |