Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
35%
25%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
GRA
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
JON
3 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 0
HEL
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 2
GRA
7%
16%
77%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 2
HEL
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 5
BVO
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 0
HEL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |