Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
4 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
1 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
HEL
0 - 3
FCD
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
XER
3 - 3
HEL
9%
14%
77%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 4
HEL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
HEL
2 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |