Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
FCD
0 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
TEL
1 - 2
EXC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 4
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
HEL
0 - 1
GAE
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
3 - 2
HEL
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
HEL
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOS
2 - 1
HEL
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
HEL
5 - 2
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |