Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
BVV
1 - 2
EXC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
1 - 1
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 5
RKC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 2
FCE
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
RBC
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
HEL
0 - 0
ZWO
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 2
HEL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 0
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
BVO
2 - 0
HEL
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |