Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 0
TEL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
APE
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
HEL
1 - 0
FCD
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
VOL
3 - 0
HEL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
HEL
1 - 2
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
MVV
1 - 1
HEL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
HEL
1 - 0
DET
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |