Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
GAE
0 - 3
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
APE
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 1
EXC
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
HEL
2 - 0
FCE
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
HEL
2 - 0
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
HEL
0 - 1
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
HEL
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
3 - 0
HEL
40%
24%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |